Lightweight
3 Rounds
Daron Cruickshank won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, December 8, 2012·Seattle, Washington, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Daron Cruickshank wins(66.8%)
Actual result: Daron Cruickshank wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daron Cruickshank enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Daron Cruickshank is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Henry Martinez has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Henry Martinez has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daron Cruickshank (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Daron Cruickshank
Red Corner
VS
Henry Martinez
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+150
(40%)
40
Age
42
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'8"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daron CruickshankL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 14W
vs Anthony Njokuani · Oct 14L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Mar 15L
SUBvs James Krause · Jul 15L
SUBvs Paul Felder · Jan 16Henry Martinez
oldest →latest
L
vs Matthew Riddle · Feb 12W
vs Bernardo Magalhaes · Jun 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daron CruickshankMetricHenry Martinez
2.88
Strikes / min
2.79
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
57%
Strike defense
60%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
0.00
60%
Takedown defense
80%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-1.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daron CruickshankHenry Martinez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daron Cruickshank(10 fights)Henry Martinez(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.6-18.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.22.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Daron Cruickshank
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12
Henry Martinez
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights3