Lightweight
3 Rounds
Daron Cruickshank won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, January 25, 2014·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupDaron Cruickshank: WrestlervsMike Rio: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Daron Cruickshank wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Daron Cruickshank wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daron Cruickshank enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mike Rio threatens submissions; Daron Cruickshank has lost 67% of fights by sub.
- Daron Cruickshank has 60pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daron Cruickshank (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Daron Cruickshank
Red Corner
VS
Mike Rio
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
40
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Daron CruickshankL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 14W
vs Anthony Njokuani · Oct 14L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Mar 15L
SUBvs James Krause · Jul 15L
SUBvs Paul Felder · Jan 16Mike RioL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs John Cofer · Dec 12L
SUBvs Francisco Trinaldo · May 13L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Daron CruickshankMetricMike Rio
2.88
Strikes / min
1.68
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
2.99
57%
Strike defense
53%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
2.58
60%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.10Δ 1.21 — meaningful gap-1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Daron CruickshankMike Rio
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Daron Cruickshank(10 fights)Mike Rio(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.0-32.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-21.021.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Daron Cruickshank
StanceSwitch
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12
Mike Rio
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4