Flyweight
3 Rounds
Willie Gates won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Sunday, July 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Darrell Montague wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Willie Gates wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Willie Gates enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Willie Gates is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Darrell Montague has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Darrell Montague has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Willie Gates has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darrell Montague (53.5%).
- Willie Gates has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Darrell Montague
Red Corner
VS
Willie Gates
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
38
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darrell MontagueL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs John Dodson · Oct 13L
vs Kyoji Horiguchi · May 14Willie GatesL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs John Moraga · Dec 14L
KOvs Dustin Ortiz · Aug 15L
vs Ulka Sasaki · May 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darrell MontagueMetricWillie Gates
1.92
Strikes / min
1.80
5.38
Strikes absorbed / min
4.28
52%
Strike defense
38%
0.72
TDs / 15 min
0.00
33%
Takedown defense
67%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-3.46evenly matched on net striking-2.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darrell MontagueWillie Gates
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darrell Montague(3 fights)Willie Gates(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.914.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+217.0-217.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Darrell Montague
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3
Willie Gates
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4