Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 5, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsChas Skelly: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(58.0%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Elkins has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Chas Skelly
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
42
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Chas SkellyW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Feb 17L
KOvs Jason Knight · May 17L
vs Bobby Moffett · Nov 18W
vs Jordan Griffin · Sep 19W
KOvs Mark Striegl · Feb 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricChas Skelly
3.40
Strikes / min
2.01
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
51%
Strike defense
49%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
1.74
56%
Takedown defense
39%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
2.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsChas Skelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Chas Skelly(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.5-14.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
Chas Skelly
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights12