Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Elkins has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren ElkinsL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25L
KOvs Yadier del Valle · Aug 26 Chas SkellyW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Feb 17L
KOvs Jason Knight · May 17L
vs Bobby Moffett · Nov 18W
vs Jordan Griffin · Sep 19W
KOvs Mark Striegl · Feb 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricChas Skelly
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.06Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-1.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren ElkinsChas Skelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Chas Skelly(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -11.0|Blue +11.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren ElkinsTargetChas Skelly
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Darren Elkins edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns1
Control1:55
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 2Darren Elkins edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns2
Control4:21
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Darren Elkins edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns4
Control2:27
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
