Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 19, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsDaniel Pineda: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Daniel Pineda
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+142
(41%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 21W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Daniel PinedaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Herbert Burns · Aug 20L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricDaniel Pineda
3.40
Strikes / min
2.85
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.26
51%
Strike defense
45%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
1.42
56%
Takedown defense
54%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+97.3-97.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+287.0-287.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
Daniel Pineda
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights13