Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Elkins has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Godofredo Pepey
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
42
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Godofredo PepeyL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Dashon Johnson · Sep 14W
SUBvs Andre Fili · Mar 15W
SUBvs Mike de la Torre · Sep 16L
vs Shane Burgos · Jul 17L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · Jan 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricGodofredo Pepey
3.40
Strikes / min
2.32
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
51%
Strike defense
47%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
0.37
56%
Takedown defense
35%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsGodofredo Pepey
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Godofredo Pepey(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+60.0-60.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-350.0350.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
Godofredo Pepey
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights11