Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jonathan Pearce won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 3, 2022·Orlando, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsJonathan Pearce: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Jonathan Pearce wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Jonathan Pearce
Blue Corner
+400
(20%)
Vegas Odds
-500
(83%)
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 21W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Jonathan PearceL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Christian Rodriguez · Feb 22W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23L
vs David Onama · Apr 24L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricJonathan Pearce
3.40
Strikes / min
5.12
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
51%
Strike defense
54%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
5.02
56%
Takedown defense
55%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsJonathan Pearce
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+33.0-33.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
Jonathan Pearce
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9