Featherweight
3 Rounds
Julian Erosa won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 12, 2025·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsJulian Erosa: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Julian Erosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Julian Erosa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Julian Erosa
Blue Corner
+230
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'1"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren ElkinsW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 21W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Fernando Padilla · Apr 23W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricJulian Erosa
3.40
Strikes / min
6.18
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
6.31
51%
Strike defense
48%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
1.73
56%
Takedown defense
61%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsJulian Erosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Julian Erosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.8-53.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18