Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 25, 2014·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsLucas Martins: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(65.1%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lucas Martins has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Lucas Martins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Lucas Martins
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
42
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Lucas Martins
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jeremy Larsen · May 13W
vs Junior Hernandez · Sep 13W
KOvs Alex White · Jul 14L
KOvs Mirsad Bektic · May 15W
vs Rob Whiteford · Apr 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricLucas Martins
3.40
Strikes / min
2.87
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
4.14
51%
Strike defense
60%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
0.00
56%
Takedown defense
76%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap-1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsLucas Martins
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Lucas Martins(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.1-19.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+172.0-172.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
Lucas Martins
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7