Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsTJ Brown: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(55.3%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Elkins has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors TJ Brown (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
TJ Brown
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
42
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 21W
vs Tristan Connelly · Apr 22L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25TJ Brown
oldest →latest
W
vs Kai Kamaka · May 21W
vs Charles Rosa · Jan 22L
vs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Jun 22W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Dec 22L
SUBvs Bill Algeo · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricTJ Brown
3.40
Strikes / min
3.37
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.89
51%
Strike defense
49%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
3.41
56%
Takedown defense
36%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsTJ Brown
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)TJ Brown(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+73.4-73.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
TJ Brown
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8