Featherweight
3 Rounds
Darren Elkins won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 30, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDarren Elkins: WrestlervsTristan Connelly: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Darren Elkins wins(55.5%)
Actual result: Darren Elkins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Darren Elkins
Red Corner
VS
Tristan Connelly
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
42
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren Elkins
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 21L
vs Jonathan Pearce · Dec 22W
SUBvs TJ Brown · Oct 23W
vs Daniel Pineda · Oct 24L
KOvs Julian Erosa · Apr 25Tristan Connelly
oldest →latest
W
vs Michel Pereira · Sep 19L
vs Pat Sabatini · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren ElkinsMetricTristan Connelly
3.40
Strikes / min
3.31
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.96
51%
Strike defense
50%
2.87
TDs / 15 min
0.33
56%
Takedown defense
60%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.06evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren ElkinsTristan Connelly
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Elkins(10 fights)Tristan Connelly(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+62.6-62.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-238.0238.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Darren Elkins
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights30
Tristan Connelly
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights3