Middleweight
3 Rounds
Karl Roberson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 11, 2017·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Karl Roberson wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Karl Roberson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Darren Stewart has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Karl Roberson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Darren Stewart
Red Corner
VS
Karl Roberson
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren StewartL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Deron Winn · Oct 19W
vs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20L
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20L
vs Eryk Anders · Jun 21L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21Karl RobersonL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19L
SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren StewartMetricKarl Roberson
3.05
Strikes / min
2.57
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
2.42
48%
Strike defense
57%
1.75
TDs / 15 min
0.72
67%
Takedown defense
40%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren StewartKarl Roberson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Stewart(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.315.3
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.349.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Darren Stewart
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12
Karl Roberson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10