Middleweight
3 Rounds
Dricus Du Plessis won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, December 10, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Dricus Du Plessis wins(53.8%)
Actual result: Dricus Du Plessis wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Till has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dricus Du Plessis (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Darren Till
Red Corner
VS
Dricus Du Plessis
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-195
(66%)
33
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
6'1"
187.96 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren TillL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 18L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 19W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21Dricus Du Plessis
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 23W
vs Sean Strickland · Jan 24W
SUBvs Israel Adesanya · Aug 24W
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 25L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren TillMetricDricus Du Plessis
2.30
Strikes / min
5.18
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
2.22
69%
Takedown defense
34%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.01Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren TillDricus Du Plessis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Till(10 fights)Dricus Du Plessis(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.08.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+301.0-301.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Darren Till
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11
Dricus Du Plessis
StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights10