Welterweight
5 Rounds
Jorge Masvidal won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, March 16, 2019·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Model Prediction: Jorge Masvidal wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Jorge Masvidal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Till enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darren Till (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Darren Till
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Masvidal
Blue Corner
-225
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+185
(35%)
33
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren TillL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 18W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Dec 22Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren TillMetricJorge Masvidal
2.30
Strikes / min
4.05
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
56%
Strike defense
64%
0.55
TDs / 15 min
1.38
69%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.01Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Darren TillJorge Masvidal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Till(10 fights)Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.8-21.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-308.0308.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Darren Till
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11
Jorge Masvidal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22