Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Davey Grant won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 14, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDavey Grant: Pressure fightervsLouis Smolka: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Louis Smolka wins(51.8%)
Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Davey Grant has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Davey Grant
Red Corner
VS
Louis Smolka
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
40
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Davey Grant
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Raphael Assuncao · Mar 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25Louis Smolka
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Matt Schnell · Mar 19W
KOvs Ryan MacDonald · Sep 19L
SUBvs Casey Kenney · May 20W
KOvs Jose Quinonez · Dec 20L
KOvs Vince Morales · Dec 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Davey GrantMetricLouis Smolka
5.58
Strikes / min
4.67
4.04
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
54%
Strike defense
53%
0.95
TDs / 15 min
1.69
65%
Takedown defense
32%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
1.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.54evenly matched on net striking+0.56
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Davey GrantLouis Smolka
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Davey Grant(10 fights)Louis Smolka(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-3.13.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Davey Grant
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights15
Louis Smolka
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17