Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jack Hermansson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 30, 2019·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Style matchupDavid Branch: WrestlervsJack Hermansson: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Jack Hermansson wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Jack Hermansson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Hermansson has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
David Branch
Red Corner
VS
Jack Hermansson
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
44
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
198.12 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David Branch
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rousimar Palhares · Mar 11W
vs Krzysztof Jotko · May 17L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Sep 17W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Apr 18L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Nov 18Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David BranchMetricJack Hermansson
1.66
Strikes / min
5.15
1.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
56%
Strike defense
56%
2.55
TDs / 15 min
1.48
43%
Takedown defense
80%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.25Δ 1.68 — meaningful gap+1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
David BranchJack Hermansson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Branch(9 fights)Jack Hermansson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-48.648.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
David Branch
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19