Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rousimar Palhares won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Thursday, March 3, 2011·Louisville, Kentucky, USA, USA
Style matchupDavid Branch: WrestlervsRousimar Palhares: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: David Branch wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Rousimar Palhares wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rousimar Palhares threatens submissions; David Branch has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- David Branch has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- David Branch has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
David Branch
Red Corner
VS
Rousimar Palhares
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
44
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'8"
198.12 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David BranchL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Krzysztof Jotko · May 17L
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Sep 17W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Apr 18L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Nov 18L
SUBvs Jack Hermansson · Mar 19Rousimar Palhares
oldest →latest
W
vs Dan Miller · Aug 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · Jan 12L
KOvs Alan Belcher · May 12L
KOvs Hector Lombard · Dec 12W
SUBvs Mike Pierce · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David BranchMetricRousimar Palhares
1.66
Strikes / min
1.75
1.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.04
56%
Strike defense
59%
2.55
TDs / 15 min
3.93
43%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
4.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
David BranchRousimar Palhares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Branch(9 fights)Rousimar Palhares(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+22.3-22.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-80.080.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
David Branch
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights9
Rousimar Palhares
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8