Flyweight
3 Rounds
David Dvorak won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, May 22, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDavid Dvorak: Well-roundedvsJuancamilo Ronderos: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: David Dvorak wins(79.3%)
Actual result: David Dvorak wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- David Dvorak enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- David Dvorak has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- David Dvorak has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
David Dvorak
Red Corner
VS
Juancamilo Ronderos
Blue Corner
-490
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
N/A
5'5"
Height
5'3"
172.72 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David DvorakL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 20W
vs Jordan Espinosa · Sep 20L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Mar 22L
vs Manel Kape · Dec 22L
vs Steve Erceg · Jun 23Juancamilo Ronderos
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Clayton Carpenter · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David DvorakMetricJuancamilo Ronderos
3.48
Strikes / min
2.18
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
2.18
59%
Strike defense
63%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
2.72
70%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking0.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
David DvorakJuancamilo Ronderos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Dvorak(6 fights)Juancamilo Ronderos(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.6-30.6
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
David Dvorak
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Juancamilo Ronderos
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights2