Flyweight
3 Rounds
Manel Kape won · U-DEC R3
DD
MK
David DvorakvsManel Kape
UFC Event · Saturday, December 17, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDavid Dvorak: Well-roundedvsManel Kape: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Manel Kape wins(50.6%)
Actual result: Manel Kape wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Manel Kape enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Manel Kape (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
David Dvorak
Red Corner
VS
Manel Kape
Blue Corner
+175
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-205
(67%)
33
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'5"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David DvorakL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 20W
vs Jordan Espinosa · Sep 20W
SUBvs Juancamilo Ronderos · May 21L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Mar 22L
vs Steve Erceg · Jun 23Manel KapeW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Sep 23L
vs Muhammad Mokaev · Jul 24W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 24W
KOvs Asu Almabayev · Mar 25W
KOvs Brandon Royval · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David DvorakMetricManel Kape
3.48
Strikes / min
5.04
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
4.08
59%
Strike defense
57%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
0.40
70%
Takedown defense
81%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
David DvorakManel Kape
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Dvorak(6 fights)Manel Kape(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.0-24.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
David Dvorak
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Manel Kape
StanceSouthpaw
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10