Flyweight
3 Rounds
Steve Erceg won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 10, 2023·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupDavid Dvorak: Well-roundedvsSteve Erceg: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Steve Erceg wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Steve Erceg wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
David Dvorak
Red Corner
VS
Steve Erceg
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
33
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David DvorakL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 20W
vs Jordan Espinosa · Sep 20W
SUBvs Juancamilo Ronderos · May 21L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Mar 22L
vs Manel Kape · Dec 22Steve Erceg
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Mar 24L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · May 24L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Aug 24L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 25W
vs Ode Osbourne · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David DvorakMetricSteve Erceg
3.48
Strikes / min
4.64
3.29
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
59%
Strike defense
55%
0.58
TDs / 15 min
1.13
70%
Takedown defense
67%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
David DvorakSteve Erceg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Dvorak(6 fights)Steve Erceg(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.7-12.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.949.9
David Dvorak
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6
Steve Erceg
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7