Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David DvorakL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Jordan Espinosa · Sep 20W
SUBvs Juancamilo Ronderos · May 21L
vs Matheus Nicolau · Mar 22 Steve Erceg
oldest →L
KOvs Kai Kara-France · Aug 24L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 25W
vs Ode Osbourne · Aug 25W
DECvs Tim Elliott · May 26L
KOvs Ramazan Temirov · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David DvorakMetricSteve Erceg
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
David DvorakSteve Erceg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Dvorak(6 fights)Steve Erceg(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -37.7|Blue +37.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
David DvorakTargetSteve Erceg
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1David Dvorak edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2David Dvorak edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control1:10
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 3Steve Erceg edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:47
20Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
1:25Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
