Bantamweight
3 Rounds
David Martinez won · KO/TKO R1
DM
SO
David MartinezvsSaimon Oliveira
UFC Event · Saturday, March 29, 2025Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico, Mexico
Style matchupDavid Martinez: Elusive strikervsSaimon Oliveira: Submission grappler
The grappler must close distance and chain wrestling. The elusive striker keeps space and picks shots.
Model Prediction: David Martinez wins(73.9%)
Actual result: David Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Saimon Oliveira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- David Martinez has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- David Martinez has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Saimon Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
David Martinez
Red Corner
VS
Saimon Oliveira
Blue Corner
-770
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+540
(16%)
27
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'4"
170.18 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David MartinezW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Rob Font · Sep 25W
vs Marlon Vera · Feb 26Saimon OliveiraL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Tony Gravely · Jan 22L
KOvs Daniel Marcos · Jan 23L
SUBvs Luan Lacerda · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David MartinezMetricSaimon Oliveira
4.82
Strikes / min
2.62
2.90
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
69%
Strike defense
45%
0.60
TDs / 15 min
1.18
100%
Takedown defense
36%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.92Δ 3.17 — meaningful gap-1.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
David MartinezSaimon Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Martinez(3 fights)Saimon Oliveira(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.2-31.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.7-49.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
David Martinez
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3
Saimon Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4