Lightweight
3 Rounds
David Teymur won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 6, 2016·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Model Prediction: David Teymur wins(72.2%)
Actual result: David Teymur wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Novelli has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jason Novelli has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors David Teymur (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
David Teymur
Red Corner
VS
Jason Novelli
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
37
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
David Teymur
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Martin Svensson · Feb 16W
vs Lando Vannata · Mar 17W
vs Drakkar Klose · Dec 17W
vs Nik Lentz · Jun 18L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Feb 19Jason Novelli
oldest →latest
L
vs Polo Reyes · Nov 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
David TeymurMetricJason Novelli
4.69
Strikes / min
1.73
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
55%
Strike defense
66%
0.94
TDs / 15 min
0.70
77%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16Δ 2.98 — meaningful gap-1.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
David TeymurJason Novelli
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
David Teymur(6 fights)Jason Novelli(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
David Teymur
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6
Jason Novelli
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights2