Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt SerraNo prior UFC fights on record.
Chris Lytle
oldest →W
SUBvs Matt Brown · Jul 10L
vs Brian Ebersole · Feb 11W
SUBvs Dan Hardy · Aug 11 latest Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt SerraChris Lytle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Serra(1 fights)Chris Lytle(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -17.5|Blue +17.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +48.0|Blue -48.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +49.6|Blue -49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage