Kyle NelsonvsMatt Frevola

UFC Event · Saturday, October 18, 2025 · Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, Canada

Model Prediction: Matt Frevola wins(54.8%)

Actual result: Kyle Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Incorrect

Tale of the Tape

Kyle Nelson

Red Corner

Matt Frevola

Blue Corner

-132

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+112

(47%)

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.6

Sig. Strikes

3.3

1.2

Takedowns

2.3

0.5

Sub Attempts

0.8

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-32.432.4

RedLayoff (days)Blue

+21.0-21.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.6-0.6

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Kyle Nelson

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights11

Matt Frevola

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10