Umar NurmagomedovvsDeiveson Figueiredo

UFC Event · Saturday, January 24, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA

Model Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov wins(71.8%)

Actual result: Umar Nurmagomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258

Correct

Tale of the Tape

Umar Nurmagomedov

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

-1500

(94%)

Vegas Odds

+870

(10%)

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'5"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Career Averages (per fight)

3.9

Sig. Strikes

2.6

4.0

Takedowns

1.6

0.2

Sub Attempts

1.2

Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)

RedElo RatingBlue

-19.719.7

RedLayoff (days)Blue

-14.014.0

RedForm ScoreBlue

+0.4-0.4

RedStriker ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

RedGrappler ScoreBlue

-0.10.1

Umar Nurmagomedov

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights9

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights19