Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Demetrious Johnson won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 27, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDemetrious Johnson: WrestlervsChris Cariaso: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Demetrious Johnson wins(78.8%)
Actual result: Demetrious Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Cariaso (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demetrious Johnson
Red Corner
VS
Chris Cariaso
Blue Corner
-1450
(94%)
Vegas Odds
+1150
(8%)
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'3"
Height
5'3"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demetrious Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16W
vs Tim Elliott · Dec 16W
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17W
SUBvs Ray Borg · Oct 17L
vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18Chris CariasoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Iliarde Santos · Oct 13W
vs Danny Martinez · Feb 14W
vs Louis Smolka · May 14L
vs Henry Cejudo · Mar 15L
vs Sergio Pettis · Oct 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demetrious JohnsonMetricChris Cariaso
3.43
Strikes / min
3.35
1.66
Strikes absorbed / min
2.23
67%
Strike defense
61%
3.35
TDs / 15 min
1.11
65%
Takedown defense
57%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.77evenly matched on net striking+1.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demetrious JohnsonChris Cariaso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)Chris Cariaso(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+53.7-53.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Demetrious Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Chris Cariaso
StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights13