Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demetrious Johnson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Demetrious Johnson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demetrious JohnsonW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16W
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17 Henry CejudoL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demetrious JohnsonMetricHenry Cejudo
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Demetrious JohnsonHenry Cejudo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)Henry Cejudo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +17.8|Blue -17.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Demetrious JohnsonTargetHenry Cejudo
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Demetrious Johnson rounds
Round 1Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:29Control
Round 3Demetrious Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:27
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 4Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 5Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:09
17Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:45Control
