Flyweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Demetrious Johnson won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, September 5, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDemetrious Johnson: WrestlervsJohn Dodson: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Demetrious Johnson wins(76.7%)
Actual result: Demetrious Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Dodson has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Demetrious Johnson
Red Corner
VS
John Dodson
Blue Corner
-560
(85%)
Vegas Odds
+430
(19%)
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
167.64 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demetrious Johnson
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Henry Cejudo · Apr 16W
vs Tim Elliott · Dec 16W
SUBvs Wilson Reis · Apr 17W
SUBvs Ray Borg · Oct 17L
vs Henry Cejudo · Aug 18John Dodson
oldest →latest
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18L
vs Jimmie Rivera · Sep 18L
vs Petr Yan · Feb 19W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demetrious JohnsonMetricJohn Dodson
3.43
Strikes / min
3.20
1.66
Strikes absorbed / min
3.58
67%
Strike defense
61%
3.35
TDs / 15 min
0.71
65%
Takedown defense
82%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.77Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demetrious JohnsonJohn Dodson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demetrious Johnson(10 fights)John Dodson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+59.5-59.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Demetrious Johnson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
John Dodson
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17