Welterweight
3 Rounds
Belal Muhammad won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 12, 2021·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsBelal Muhammad: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Belal Muhammad wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Belal Muhammad has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Belal Muhammad
Blue Corner
+170
(37%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
48
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian Maia
oldest →latest
L
vs Kamaru Usman · May 18W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20Belal MuhammadL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Sean Brady · Oct 22W
vs Gilbert Burns · May 23W
vs Leon Edwards · Jul 24L
vs Jack Della Maddalena · May 25L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricBelal Muhammad
1.80
Strikes / min
4.43
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.82
63%
Strike defense
55%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
2.14
61%
Takedown defense
90%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaBelal Muhammad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Belal Muhammad(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+336.0-336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Belal Muhammad
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights20