Welterweight
5 Rounds
Demian Maia won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 26, 2019·Kallang, Singapore, Singapore
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsBen Askren: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Demian Maia wins(50.4%)
Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demian Maia has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Demian Maia has 61pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Ben Askren
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
48
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kamaru Usman · May 18W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Ben Askren
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Robbie Lawler · Mar 19L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Jul 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricBen Askren
1.80
Strikes / min
3.64
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
5.66
63%
Strike defense
36%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
4.33
61%
Takedown defense
0%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-2.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaBen Askren
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Ben Askren(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+107.7-107.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Ben Askren
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3