Middleweight
3 Rounds
Chris Weidman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 28, 2012·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsChris Weidman: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Chris Weidman wins(56.1%)
Actual result: Chris Weidman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demian Maia has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
- Chris Weidman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Chris Weidman
Blue Corner
+142
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-152
(60%)
48
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Chris Weidman
oldest →latest
W
vs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23W
vs Bruno Silva · Mar 24L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricChris Weidman
1.80
Strikes / min
3.11
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.37
63%
Strike defense
51%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
3.27
61%
Takedown defense
72%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaChris Weidman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-34.034.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Chris Weidman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights20