Welterweight
5 Rounds
Jake Shields won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Wednesday, October 9, 2013·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsJake Shields: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Demian Maia wins(70.6%)
Actual result: Jake Shields wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demian Maia has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Jake Shields
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
48
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Jake Shields
oldest →latest
L
vs Georges St-Pierre · Apr 11L
KOvs Jake Ellenberger · Sep 11W
vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Feb 12W
vs Tyron Woodley · Jun 13L
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricJake Shields
1.80
Strikes / min
2.45
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
1.80
63%
Strike defense
56%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
2.83
61%
Takedown defense
35%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaJake Shields
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Jake Shields(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.9-38.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+133.0-133.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Jake Shields
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7