Welterweight
3 Rounds
Demian Maia won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2017·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsJorge Masvidal: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Demian Maia wins(61.9%)
Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Masvidal
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
48
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricJorge Masvidal
1.80
Strikes / min
4.05
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
63%
Strike defense
64%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
1.38
61%
Takedown defense
72%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27Δ 1.27 — meaningful gap+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaJorge Masvidal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.5-36.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.61.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Jorge Masvidal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22