Middleweight
3 Rounds
Demian Maia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 8, 2011·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Demian Maia wins(62.9%)
Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Santiago
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
48
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Jorge SantiagoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Brian Stann · May 11L
vs Gunnar Nelson · Feb 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricJorge Santiago
1.80
Strikes / min
1.69
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
2.62
63%
Strike defense
56%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
0.58
61%
Takedown defense
52%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.93
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaJorge Santiago
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Jorge Santiago(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.4-18.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Jorge Santiago
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3