Welterweight
5 Rounds
Kamaru Usman won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, May 19, 2018·Santiago, Chile, Chile
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsKamaru Usman: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(70.5%)
Actual result: Kamaru Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kamaru Usman has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (54.1%).
- Kamaru Usman has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Kamaru Usman
Blue Corner
+415
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-525
(84%)
48
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricKamaru Usman
1.80
Strikes / min
4.16
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
63%
Strike defense
55%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
2.79
61%
Takedown defense
89%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaKamaru Usman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Kamaru Usman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-16.916.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+78.0-78.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19