Welterweight
3 Rounds
Demian Maia won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 2, 2019·Fortaleza, Ceara, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsLyman Good: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Lyman Good wins(56.8%)
Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Lyman Good
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
48
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kamaru Usman · May 18W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Lyman Good
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Andrew Craig · Jul 15L
vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Jul 17W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Nov 18W
KOvs Chance Rencountre · Nov 19L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricLyman Good
1.80
Strikes / min
5.34
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
4.01
63%
Strike defense
63%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
0.27
61%
Takedown defense
75%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27Δ 1.60 — meaningful gap+1.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaLyman Good
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Lyman Good(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+70.3-70.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+168.0-168.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Lyman Good
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights6