Middleweight
3 Rounds
Demian Maia won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Mario Miranda wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Demian Maia has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Demian Maia (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Mario Miranda
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
48
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Mario Miranda
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Gerald Harris · Mar 10W
KOvs David Loiseau · Jun 10L
vs Aaron Simpson · Mar 11Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricMario Miranda
1.80
Strikes / min
1.96
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
2.46
63%
Strike defense
36%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
1.02
61%
Takedown defense
54%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaMario Miranda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Mario Miranda(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-19.519.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Mario Miranda
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4