Welterweight
3 Rounds
Demian Maia won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupDemian Maia: WrestlervsRick Story: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Demian Maia wins(65.7%)
Actual result: Demian Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Tale of the Tape
Demian Maia
Red Corner
VS
Rick Story
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
48
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Demian MaiaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Lyman Good · Feb 19W
vs Rocco Martin · Jun 19W
SUBvs Ben Askren · Oct 19L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Mar 20L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jun 21Rick Story
oldest →latest
L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Mar 14W
SUBvs Leonardo Mafra · Jul 14W
vs Gunnar Nelson · Oct 14W
vs Tarec Saffiedine · May 16L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Demian MaiaMetricRick Story
1.80
Strikes / min
3.80
2.07
Strikes absorbed / min
2.17
63%
Strike defense
62%
2.49
TDs / 15 min
2.53
61%
Takedown defense
63%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.27Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap+1.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Demian MaiaRick Story
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Demian Maia(10 fights)Rick Story(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-20.920.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-15.015.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Demian Maia
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights26
Rick Story
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights16