Featherweight
3 Rounds
Dennis Bermudez won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 11, 2012·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupDennis Bermudez: WrestlervsTommy Hayden: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Dennis Bermudez wins(75.4%)
Actual result: Dennis Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dennis Bermudez has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tommy Hayden (53.5%).
- Tommy Hayden has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Dennis Bermudez
Red Corner
VS
Tommy Hayden
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+285
(26%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'9"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dennis Bermudez
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Feb 17L
vs Darren Elkins · Jul 17L
vs Andre Fili · Jan 18L
vs Rick Glenn · Jul 18W
vs Te Edwards · Jan 19Tommy Hayden
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Fabricio Camoes · Jan 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dennis BermudezMetricTommy Hayden
4.42
Strikes / min
1.48
3.07
Strikes absorbed / min
2.05
59%
Strike defense
55%
3.89
TDs / 15 min
3.42
82%
Takedown defense
66%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.35Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap-0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dennis BermudezTommy Hayden
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dennis Bermudez(10 fights)Tommy Hayden(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+20.9-20.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-106.0106.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Dennis Bermudez
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights17
Tommy Hayden
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach—
Fights2