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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Bogdan Grad won · Submission R2

Elo1445

Elo1509

Dennis BuzukjavsBogdan GradUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Official fight result

Bogdan Grad won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:33

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Bogdan Grad

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Bogdan Grad at -200 American odds · hypothetical only

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Style matchupDennis Buzukja: Pressure fightervsBogdan Grad: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dennis Buzukja is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Bogdan Grad has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Buzukja

Red Corner

Bogdan Grad

Blue Corner

+165

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1445

Elo

1509

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis BuzukjaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Sean Woodson · Aug 23

KOvs Jamall Emmers · Nov 23

KOvs Connor Matthews · Mar 24

vs Francis Marshall · Aug 24

KOvs Marcio Barbosa · Apr 26

latest

Bogdan GradL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Lucas Alexander · Feb 25

vs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 25

KOvs Luke Riley · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BuzukjaMetricBogdan Grad

4.21

Strikes / min

4.06

4.79

Strikes absorbed / min

5.06

48%

Strike defense

49%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

4.22

75%

Takedown defense

75%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.58evenly matched on net striking-1.00

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Buzukja(6 fights)Bogdan Grad(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -63.9|Blue +63.9

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -147.0|Blue +147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Dennis BuzukjaTargetBogdan Grad

By target zone

47% acc · 76%

Head

54% acc · 73%

82% acc · 20%

Body

70% acc · 16%

67% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 11%

By position

51% acc · 96%

Distance

47% acc · 55%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

86% acc · 14%

Ground

88% acc · 32%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Dennis Buzukja rounds

even

Bogdan Grad rounds

Round 1Bogdan Grad edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:44Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:40Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 89

Sig Strikes

44 / 74

52%

Sig Str %

58.5%

68 / 111

Total Strikes

67 / 100

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 12

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

4:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bogdan Grad	27 / 40	45 / 60	3 / 6	1
1	Dennis Buzukja	22 / 39	27 / 44	0 / 0	0
2	Bogdan Grad	17 / 34	22 / 40	1 / 6	1
2	Dennis Buzukja	24 / 50	41 / 67	0 / 0	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Bogdan Grad

Odds

-200

Market-implied probability

Bogdan Grad 64%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Dennis Buzukja$265

Bogdan Grad (model pick · research)$150

64% market-implied · model 53% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Dennis Buzukja

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

Bogdan Grad

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4