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Featherweight

3 Rounds

7 days away

Elo1468

Elo1480

Dennis BuzukjavsBogdan GradUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in

Style matchupDennis Buzukja: Pressure fightervsBogdan Grad: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Dennis Buzukja is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Bogdan Grad has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Bogdan Grad is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Dennis Buzukja has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Dennis Buzukja

Red Corner

Bogdan Grad

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1468

Elo

1480

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Dennis BuzukjaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Sean Woodson · Aug 23

KOvs Jamall Emmers · Nov 23

KOvs Connor Matthews · Mar 24

vs Francis Marshall · Aug 24

KOvs Marcio Barbosa · Apr 26

latest

Bogdan GradL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Lucas Alexander · Feb 25

vs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 25

KOvs Luke Riley · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Dennis BuzukjaMetricBogdan Grad

4.21

Strikes / min

4.06

4.79

Strikes absorbed / min

5.06

48%

Strike defense

49%

0.62

TDs / 15 min

4.22

75%

Takedown defense

75%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.58evenly matched on net striking-1.00

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Dennis Buzukja(5 fights)Bogdan Grad(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -12.5|Blue +12.5

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red -147.0|Blue +147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO100%

Historical win share: Bogdan Grad earned 100% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission0%

Limited submission threat from either side.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Dennis Buzukja

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4

Bogdan Grad

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights3