Lightweight
3 Rounds
Francis Marshall won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 24, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDennis Buzukja: Pressure fightervsFrancis Marshall: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Dennis Buzukja wins(60.8%)
Actual result: Francis Marshall wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dennis Buzukja (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Dennis Buzukja
Red Corner
VS
Francis Marshall
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-218
(69%)
28
Age
27
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'9"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dennis Buzukja
oldest →latest
L
vs Sean Woodson · Aug 23L
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Nov 23W
KOvs Connor Matthews · Mar 24Francis Marshall
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Marcelo Rojo · Dec 22L
vs William Gomis · Apr 23L
KOvs Isaac Dulgarian · Aug 23L
vs Mairon Santos · Mar 25W
SUBvs Erik Silva · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dennis BuzukjaMetricFrancis Marshall
4.21
Strikes / min
3.19
4.79
Strikes absorbed / min
3.45
48%
Strike defense
55%
0.62
TDs / 15 min
2.71
75%
Takedown defense
88%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.58evenly matched on net striking-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dennis BuzukjaFrancis Marshall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dennis Buzukja(4 fights)Francis Marshall(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+4.0-4.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-231.0231.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Dennis Buzukja
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4
Francis Marshall
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6