Featherweight
3 Rounds
Tatsuya Kawajiri won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 20, 2015·Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Germany
Style matchupDennis Siver: Elusive strikervsTatsuya Kawajiri: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Dennis Siver wins(53.6%)
Actual result: Tatsuya Kawajiri wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dennis Siver has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Dennis Siver
Red Corner
VS
Tatsuya Kawajiri
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
47
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dennis Siver
oldest →latest
W
vs Nam Phan · Dec 12L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Jul 13W
vs Charles Rosa · Oct 14L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jan 15W
vs BJ Penn · Jun 17Tatsuya KawajiriL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Sean Soriano · Jan 14L
vs Clay Guida · Apr 14W
vs Jason Knight · Dec 15L
vs Dennis Bermudez · Feb 16L
vs Cub Swanson · Aug 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dennis SiverMetricTatsuya Kawajiri
3.87
Strikes / min
2.04
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.01
65%
Strike defense
50%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
3.63
65%
Takedown defense
63%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.20Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap+0.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Dennis SiverTatsuya Kawajiri
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dennis Siver(10 fights)Tatsuya Kawajiri(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.2-47.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-282.0282.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Dennis Siver
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights13
Tatsuya Kawajiri
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6