Middleweight
3 Rounds
Derek Brunson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, November 6, 2013·Fort Campbell, Kentucky, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(66.2%)
Actual result: Derek Brunson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Derek Brunson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Derek Brunson
Red Corner
VS
Brian Houston
Blue Corner
-170
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
42
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Brian Houston
oldest →latest
L
vs Trevor Smith · Jan 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derek BrunsonMetricBrian Houston
3.51
Strikes / min
1.90
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.67
51%
Strike defense
53%
3.14
TDs / 15 min
0.95
85%
Takedown defense
87%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-1.77
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derek BrunsonBrian Houston
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derek Brunson(10 fights)Brian Houston(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.4-19.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Brian Houston
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach—
Fights2