Middleweight
3 Rounds
Derek Brunson won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 1, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupDerek Brunson: WrestlervsEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Derek Brunson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edmen Shahbazyan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Derek Brunson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Edmen Shahbazyan has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Derek Brunson has lost 86% of fights by KO.
- Derek Brunson has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Derek Brunson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Derek Brunson
Red Corner
VS
Edmen Shahbazyan
Blue Corner
+275
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-360
(78%)
42
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'2"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ian Heinisch · Aug 19W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Edmen ShahbazyanW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs AJ Dobson · Mar 24L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24W
KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25W
vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derek BrunsonMetricEdmen Shahbazyan
3.51
Strikes / min
3.80
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.60
51%
Strike defense
49%
3.14
TDs / 15 min
1.62
85%
Takedown defense
66%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derek BrunsonEdmen Shahbazyan
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derek Brunson(10 fights)Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+23.5-23.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Edmen Shahbazyan
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14