Middleweight
3 Rounds
Derek Brunson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2019·Ottawa, Ontario, Canada, Canada
Style matchupDerek Brunson: WrestlervsElias Theodorou: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(61.3%)
Actual result: Derek Brunson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Derek Brunson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Derek Brunson (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Derek Brunson
Red Corner
VS
Elias Theodorou
Blue Corner
-110
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-110
(52%)
42
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Elias TheodorouW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cezar Ferreira · Feb 17L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 17W
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 17W
vs Trevor Smith · May 18W
vs Eryk Anders · Dec 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derek BrunsonMetricElias Theodorou
3.51
Strikes / min
4.19
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.39
51%
Strike defense
53%
3.14
TDs / 15 min
1.27
85%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derek BrunsonElias Theodorou
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derek Brunson(10 fights)Elias Theodorou(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-42.242.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.21.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Elias Theodorou
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights11