Middleweight
3 Rounds
Derek Brunson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2019·Anaheim, California, USA, USA
Style matchupDerek Brunson: WrestlervsIan Heinisch: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(69.2%)
Actual result: Derek Brunson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Derek Brunson has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Derek Brunson (53.5%).
- Derek Brunson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Derek Brunson
Red Corner
VS
Ian Heinisch
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
42
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'11"
195.58 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Ian HeinischL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Antonio Carlos Junior · May 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jun 20L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derek BrunsonMetricIan Heinisch
3.51
Strikes / min
3.25
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
51%
Strike defense
59%
3.14
TDs / 15 min
1.02
85%
Takedown defense
59%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derek BrunsonIan Heinisch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derek Brunson(10 fights)Ian Heinisch(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.5-36.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Ian Heinisch
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7