Middleweight
3 Rounds
Israel Adesanya won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, November 3, 2018·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupDerek Brunson: WrestlervsIsrael Adesanya: Striker
Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.
Model Prediction: Derek Brunson wins(52.4%)
Actual result: Israel Adesanya wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Derek Brunson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Israel Adesanya has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Israel Adesanya (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Derek Brunson
Red Corner
VS
Israel Adesanya
Blue Corner
+245
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-290
(74%)
42
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
6'1"
Height
6'4"
195.58 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derek BrunsonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 20W
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 21W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 21L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 22L
KOvs Dricus Du Plessis · Mar 23Israel AdesanyaL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Alex Pereira · Apr 23L
vs Sean Strickland · Sep 23L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 24L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Feb 25L
KOvs Joe Pyfer · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derek BrunsonMetricIsrael Adesanya
3.51
Strikes / min
4.03
3.05
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
51%
Strike defense
55%
3.14
TDs / 15 min
0.05
85%
Takedown defense
76%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.81
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Derek BrunsonIsrael Adesanya
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derek Brunson(10 fights)Israel Adesanya(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.9-19.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+160.0-160.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Derek Brunson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights21
Israel Adesanya
StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights19