Catch Weight
3 Rounds
Deron Winn won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, December 19, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Deron Winn wins(65.7%)
Actual result: Deron Winn wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Deron Winn enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Deron Winn
Red Corner
VS
Antonio Arroyo
Blue Corner
+160
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-185
(65%)
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
6'3"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Deron WinnL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Eric Spicely · Jun 19L
vs Darren Stewart · Oct 19L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 20L
KOvs Phil Hawes · Jun 22Antonio ArroyoL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Andre Muniz · Nov 19L
KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Sep 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Deron WinnMetricAntonio Arroyo
4.55
Strikes / min
2.82
6.21
Strikes absorbed / min
2.02
46%
Strike defense
50%
4.28
TDs / 15 min
1.14
40%
Takedown defense
41%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66Δ 2.46 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Deron WinnAntonio Arroyo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Deron Winn(5 fights)Antonio Arroyo(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.41.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Deron Winn
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Antonio Arroyo
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3