Middleweight
3 Rounds
Darren Stewart won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, October 18, 2019·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupDeron Winn: WrestlervsDarren Stewart: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Deron Winn wins(64.5%)
Actual result: Darren Stewart wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Stewart enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Darren Stewart has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Darren Stewart has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Deron Winn
Red Corner
VS
Darren Stewart
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
36
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
6'0"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Deron Winn
oldest →latest
W
vs Eric Spicely · Jun 19L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 20W
vs Antonio Arroyo · Dec 20L
KOvs Phil Hawes · Jun 22Darren StewartL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Bevon Lewis · Jun 19W
vs Maki Pitolo · Aug 20L
vs Kevin Holland · Sep 20L
vs Eryk Anders · Jun 21L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Aug 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Deron WinnMetricDarren Stewart
4.55
Strikes / min
3.05
6.21
Strikes absorbed / min
3.29
46%
Strike defense
48%
4.28
TDs / 15 min
1.75
40%
Takedown defense
67%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-0.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Deron WinnDarren Stewart
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Deron Winn(5 fights)Darren Stewart(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+24.3-24.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Deron Winn
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Darren Stewart
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights12