Middleweight
3 Rounds
Deron Winn won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 22, 2019·Greenville, South Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupDeron Winn: WrestlervsEric Spicely: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Deron Winn wins(53.1%)
Actual result: Deron Winn wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eric Spicely threatens submissions; Deron Winn has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Eric Spicely has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Deron Winn
Red Corner
VS
Eric Spicely
Blue Corner
-360
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
36
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
6'1"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Deron Winn
oldest →latest
L
vs Darren Stewart · Oct 19L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 20W
vs Antonio Arroyo · Dec 20L
KOvs Phil Hawes · Jun 22Eric SpicelyL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Jul 16W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Sep 16W
SUBvs Alessio Di Chirico · Jan 17L
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Dec 17L
KOvs Darren Stewart · May 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Deron WinnMetricEric Spicely
4.55
Strikes / min
3.71
6.21
Strikes absorbed / min
5.72
46%
Strike defense
55%
4.28
TDs / 15 min
1.31
40%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66evenly matched on net striking-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Deron WinnEric Spicely
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Deron Winn(5 fights)Eric Spicely(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.4-49.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.8-49.8
Deron Winn
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5
Eric Spicely
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6